Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.474836 0.557654 0.648585 0.755558 0.877665 1.012399 1.172011
2024-10-27 0.346460 0.455943 0.588104 0.758148 0.969759 1.222952 1.547186
2024-11-03 0.271585 0.394217 0.554651 0.776991 1.073740 1.452344 1.967447
2024-11-10 0.217558 0.344589 0.522950 0.786471 1.159609 1.661740 2.379567
2024-11-17 0.177155 0.303859 0.493473 0.789972 1.232021 1.854751 2.783124
2024-11-24 0.148958 0.274790 0.474269 0.802349 1.314106 2.064179 3.223292
2024-12-01 0.125099 0.247377 0.452060 0.804897 1.378618 2.250322 3.641610
2024-12-08 0.101027 0.214396 0.414846 0.776887 1.390038 2.354728 3.942950
2024-12-15 0.089979 0.202786 0.411668 0.803881 1.490773 2.602663 4.479739
2024-12-22 0.079674 0.190451 0.404967 0.823049 1.578930 2.835700 5.007719
2024-12-29 0.074447 0.187387 0.414774 0.872382 1.722490 3.168329 5.716893
2025-01-05 0.064184 0.171405 0.397042 0.867812 1.769251 3.341338 6.173244
2025-01-12 0.054681 0.155403 0.377363 0.858004 1.807226 3.505239 6.631536
2025-01-19 0.046818 0.141553 0.360014 0.850525 1.848555 3.677840 7.116560
2025-01-26 0.041869 0.133891 0.354920 0.867421 1.937937 3.942259 7.778720
2025-02-02 0.037053 0.125450 0.346673 0.876374 2.011973 4.183123 8.413075
2025-02-09 0.032564 0.116810 0.336518 0.879665 2.074340 4.405750 9.026915
2025-02-16 0.029188 0.110582 0.331211 0.893050 2.158385 4.674479 9.740676
2025-02-23 0.025742 0.103245 0.321872 0.895770 2.219656 4.902557 10.390593
2025-03-02 0.021414 0.091806 0.299760 0.864976 2.204920 4.979175 10.755767
2025-03-09 0.019891 0.089511 0.302142 0.894612 2.326613 5.336574 11.682533
2025-03-16 0.018216 0.086223 0.301195 0.915654 2.430397 5.663435 12.566119
2025-03-23 0.017691 0.087126 0.312568 0.969792 2.614732 6.167111 13.824894